Vol 24, No 1 (2024)

SECTION «SOCIOLOGICAL SCIENCES» OF THE 6TH PROFESSORIAL FORUM (RUDN UNIVERSITY, NOVEMBER 16, 2023)

Opening speech at the meeting of the scientific-sectoral section “Sociological Sciences” of the 6th Professorial Forum “ Science and Education as the Basis for the Development of Russia. Personnel for an Innovative Economy”

Gorshkov M.K.

Abstract

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RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):7-12
pages 7-12 views

On the ideological aspects of education and the sociologist’s responsibility (introduction to the discussion)

Ivanov V.N.

Abstract

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RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):13-18
pages 13-18 views

On the problem of personnel reproduction in Russian science and universities (introduction to the discussion)

Chernysh M.F.

Abstract

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RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):19-27
pages 19-27 views

Forms of the higher education participation in ensuring labor productivity

Toshchenko Z.T.

Abstract

Such a formulation of the question as labor productivity in the context of higher education may seems unusual and controversial, since in most cases this issue is considered in the analysis of economic problems, of the use of such resources in production as the improvement of technology, equipment and management, working conditions and organization. However, this list of means for increasing labor productivity should include an analysis of the preliminary stages at which future specialists begin to develop a set of qualities for productive work - educational process in all its diversity, which receives insufficient attention. The article identifies the forms of participation of Russian universities in solving one of the central tasks in increasing the efficiency of the economy - training future specialists for productive work. As a rule, the concepts ‘productive labor’ and ‘labor productivity’ are used in relation to the real production, as evidenced by numerous studies, technological and economic policies, and actual production activity. The article shows that for the implementation of the national program “Labor Productivity and Employment” the preparatory stage for solving this problem is especially important, which involves a radical reconstruction of the universities’ strategies for training students for future work: career guidance, professional selection, professional practice, and professional adaptation. The author considers these forms of the higher education participation in solving problems of labor productivity and productive labor referring to the research conducted by the Institute of Sociology of the Federal Center of Theoretical and Applied Sociology of the Russian Academy of Sciences and by the Russian State University for the Humanities and to the conclusions and suggestions of scientists, teachers and practitioners who studied, applied and/or summarized the experience of students’ preparation for future professional life.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):28-42
pages 28-42 views

The emergence of synergistic complexities in Russia: A request for new university courses

Kravchenko S.A.

Abstract

The article explains the request for new approaches in the higher education as determined by the emergence of the “order out of chaos” (I. Prigogine) in the form of synergistic complexities. Their underestimation during perestroika and liberal reforms led to the crisis in the educational system and society. Until now, these actual issues have not been sufficiently represented in the educational programs of universities: students need synergistic knowledge that connects the achievements of social sciences, humanities and natural sciences and allows to analyze the nature of complex, non-linearly realities and manage them. The author considers the following synergistic realities: social-techno/digital-natural hybrids, complex spaces and time, interference risks and hybrid vulnerabilities, complex social identity, complexities of social consciousness, good and evil, scientific knowledge and education. To analyze the nature of synergistic realities, the author suggests a theoretical-methodological combination of three meta-paradigms: the theory of synergetics, which includes social-humanitarian and natural-scientific knowledge; theories that study the mutual influence of global and national-local factors; theories of nonlinear development and metamorphization. The author makes conclusions about the need for interdisciplinary and post-disciplinary courses for the study of synergistically complex realities, focusing on the Russian cultural specifics, which would allow to equip students with knowledge about complex causality; to form a creative personality with a set of cultural and professional competencies necessary for the preservation and reproduction of the Russian synergistic complexities with their national-cultural specifics; to develop a humanistic worldview and a socially responsible attitude towards society, macroand micro-worlds of nature and technological innovation, thus, contributing to the sovereign development of the country.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):43-57
pages 43-57 views

Innovation bureaucracy in the higher education management

Barkov S.A., Markeeva A.V., Gavrilenko O.V.

Abstract

In recent decades, the Russian education system has been constantly reformed. Its current state and problems cannot be understood without identifying the subject initiating and carrying out these permanent changes. Such a subject is an innovative bureaucracy - a specific type of bureaucracy that serves innovative processes and creates social and organizational routines from them. This bureaucracy managed to make a conveyor of innovations, which often moves in a circle - without beginning or end. The reforms have become pendulum and repeat at certain intervals. The article considers numerous consequences and excesses of the innovative bureaucracy’s dominance in the higher education management, which are determined by this bureaucracy success in replacing the real, socially significant goals of the higher education system with indicators that can be quickly achieved and reported as if for the public good. The harsh administrative pressure of the innovative bureaucracy leads to the constant updating and combination of standards (although not all their content can be standardized), to an increase in reporting (including in electronic, online form) and in teaching load. The lack and ambivalence of goals and the non-stop projects of changes hinder the formation of institutional matrix to meet the contemporary challenges and determine destabilizing processes in the education system. The authors argue that an institutional approach to the higher education management can change the situation, since it focuses not on administrative orders and formal goals but on establishing norms and rules for the education system self-development. Thus, the efficiency of the education system should be evaluated by the society and the state and not by representatives of the innovative bureaucracy, who strive to preserve the innovation conveyor. The principles of post-industrial management should be applied in the higher education system, replacing the bureaucratic approach to the implementation of innovations.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):58-72
pages 58-72 views

The socialcultural context of the formation and implementation of the sociological education models in Russia

Bulanova M.B.

Abstract

The article considers historical aspects of the formation and implementation of the sociological education models in Russia. The model developed by N.I. Kareev and M.M. Kovalevsky at the end of the 19th century was to teach sociology to students of all areas of university training. In 1901, sociologization of social sciences started at the Russian School of Higher Social Sciences in Paris, and in 1908 it was improved at the departments of sociology of the V.M. Bekhterev Psychoneurological Institute and A.L. Shanyavsky Moscow City People’s University. In 1918, P.A. Sorokin developed a professional model for training sociologists; until 1921 this model was implemented at the faculties of social sciences of the Moscow, Petrograd and Yaroslavl State Universities. In 1922, the implementation of both models was suspended due to the introduction of centralized plans to teach the basics of MarxismLeninism to students. The creative potential of two historical models became in demand during perestroika , in the late 1980s - early 1990s, and new versions of the educational and professional models were introduced in the higher education in favorable conditions for the reinstitutionalization of sociology. However, since 2010, there has been a gradual reduction in the number of sociological departments and faculties in Bachelor’s-Master’s programs. Today educational and professional models are unevenly represented in the Russian higher education; their implementation remains questionable due to the idea of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education to return to training students on the basis of the enlarged groups of specialties, i.e. sociology curriculum will have to be coordinated with curricula for regional studies, international relations, tourism and political science.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):73-86
pages 73-86 views

Model of sociology training introduced by the fourthgeneration Federal State Educational Standard

Temnova L.V.

Abstract

Today a new level-system of higher education is formed in Russia through significant changes that meet the new requirements for specialists in economics, social sectors, and all spheres of public life. The new system is to incorporate the developments of the Soviet educational model and the experience of recent decades. The article considers a new model of sociological training implied in the reform of the higher education system and in the fourthgeneration Federal State Educational Standard (FSES). One of the central ideas of the new system is to provide students with the opportunity to choose a field of study not upon entering a university, but at the third year of study, which would increase the awareness of professional choice, help graduates to more successfully integrate into the labor market due to a broader educational base and ensure the flexibility of educational programs, preserving the “fundamental core” in each. Thus, the first two years are for general (for the enlarged group of areas) training, and then specialized (sociological) training starts. However, the draft of the new standard proposed by the Ministry of Education and Science, which is based on updated, enlarged groups of areas, would not improve the professional training of sociologists. The mandatory general part for all areas in the group would inevitably reduce the professional part of training, thus, depriving the higher sociological education of connections with practice and destroying the focused training of specialists, which contradicts the demands of society and the labor market, and the goals of the country’s social-economic development. There are also other problems: an unpredictable extension of the time to enter the labor market; not identified mechanisms for distributing student quotas between areas within the group, for funding an extended period of study (20 %-40 % increase in cost) and an increased teaching load. The current pilot project designed for three years would not allow to make valid conclusions about the suggested changes as students will not even complete the basic level of higher education. Therefore, it is necessary to return to the FSES for each area of training, to further develop regulatory and legal grounds for the transition from the Bologna system with a focus on the values and goals of the Russian higher education, and to ensure a broad public-p rofessional discussion about the planned reforms.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):87-100
pages 87-100 views

The new Federal State Educational Standard and sociological imagination: A few words about poor sociological (and not demoscopic) education

Trotsuk I.V.

Abstract

The article presents some thoughts about the reasons for the current extreme concern of the Russian professional sociological community about the model of training proposed by the Federal State Educational Standard of the fourth generation. In the first part of the article, the author briefly summarizes general problems of higher education, which are typical not only for the Russian university system but also, to one degree or another, for most national approaches to professional training (massification, commercialization, bureaucratization, digitalization, loss of university autonomy and institutional independence for the sake of socialeconomic reproduction, a decrease in the quality of training of future specialists and in the authority of the university teacher, etc.). In the second, main part of the article, the author refers to the respected sociological works and expert assessments to identify main reasons for the professional sociological community’s concern about the proposed radical change in the model of sociological training. Certainly, there is a number of obvious risks with “qualitative” variability, such as the priority of the political-science orientation, reduction in the volume of disciplines fundamentally important for sociological training, difficulty in mastering special professional competencies in a shorter period, unclear prospects for the full-time teaching staff of sociological departments, etc. However, the main danger is that the proposed model of sociological training would be unable to develop the main professional skill of the competent researcher (and not the demoscopist/practitioner) - sociological imagination, which requires longterm “slow reading” and constant methodological reflection.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):101-111
pages 101-111 views

Sociologist 4.0: Challenges and risks for the professional sociological education

Obraztsov I.V.

Abstract

The Russian system of the professional sociological education, if we date its institutionalization to the creation of the first sociological faculties in the USSR in 1989, has functioned for more than thirty years. However, in the coming years, this education will have the most difficult period in its development due to the transition to a new two-level model of higher education and to the adoption of the Federal State Educational Standard of the 4th generation (FSES 4). The implementation of these plans creates certain challenges: 1) sociological training would lose the status of an independent enlarged group of specialties (EGS) and would be included into the political sciences EGS; 2) the suggested program of joint training of sociologists with representatives of political sciences in the first two years of study would reduce the study time for mastering sociological academic disciplines; 3) there are certain contradictions between the basic and specialized levels of higher education due to the suggested expanded opportunities for basic-level graduates to enroll in graduate school. Moreover, such issues as the target numbers for the EGS, mechanisms for their distribution between areas of training and possibility of simultaneous training in ‘related’ specialties have not been resolved. These challenges create risks for sociology of maintaining its status of a specialty, and, ultimately, a threat to its independence and identity. The author suggests some measures to develop the professional sociological education and to maintain its status under the current reform of the national higher education system, which is primarily the restoration of the sociological EGS in the List of Areas of Training in Higher Education, which would make the new FSES 4 focus on the related areas of training and improve the quality of sociological education.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):112-124
pages 112-124 views

Sociological education in Belarus: History and the present time

Danilov A.N., Rotman D.G.

Abstract

As has happened more than once in history, today education again needs a clear direction for its development. The whirlwinds of change calmed down, and it became obvious that a lot of good things had been lost: education is essentially conservative, and this is its great advantage. Education shows a path to eternal truths, to understanding the laws of evolution and the world of the mind. The university in this sense is not a place of services, bargain, purchase or sale, it is a temple of science and truth, which by definition cannot be widespread. The university lives its own life but in connection with the state, its history, national traditions and values. The article considers the problems of the transformation of sociological education and institutionalization of sociology in Belarus. The teaching of sociological disciplines began with the opening of the Belarusian State University (BSU) in 1921. Professor S.Z. Katzenbogen became the first teacher of sociological disciplines and the head of the department of sociology and primitive culture. This was followed by a more than a thirty-year forced break due to the removal of sociology from the curriculum, repressions of the 1930s, the Great Patriotic War and post-war reconstruction. The revival of sociology began in the 1960s with the efforts of G.P. Davidyuk and E.M. Babosov. Sociological departments were opened at the Academy of Sciences and leading universities; sociology became one of the main sources of knowledge about the contemporary society and social well-being. Despite all difficulties and obstacles, sociology has become in demand under the current uncertainty, global instability and social turbulence. However, the ignorance of national experience and educational traditions and mechanical borrowing of foreign practices is unacceptable and leads to stagnation.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):125-139
pages 125-139 views

Higher education in the Eurasian Economic Union: Potential and problems of cooperation

Osadchaya G.I., Yudina T.N.

Abstract

To solve the integration tasks of forming a common labor market, interpenetration of values and ideas, ensuring mutual understanding and trust between peoples, the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) needs a single educational space, similar educational and professional standards, mutual recognition of diplomas, academic degrees and titles. The article considers academic mobility within the EAEU and current practices of cooperation between its member-states and observer countries in the field of higher education based on the data of the Eurasian Economic Commission (EEC) and the Russian Federal State Statistics Service (to assess the efficiency of promoting the ideas of Eurasian integration) and on the results of the authors’ empirical research (to identify potential for the development of cooperation between the EAEU member-states and observer countries in the field of education). The authors show a decrease in student exchange between universities of member-states and an increase in the number of students from non-CIS countries; Russia still accepts more students than its EAEU partners, which proves the inequality of student and teachers’ academic mobility and the need for changes in legislation and funding under the growing competition with Turkey, Europe and China in the field of education. The article considers the development of the structure and programs of educational cooperation, the expansion of branches of leading universities in other countries, the creation by leading universities of the Consortium, Eurasian Network University and Slavic Universities, and so on. The development of cooperation between the EAEU member-states and observer countries in the field of higher education requires an agreement between participants of integration at the highest level, classification of the higher education issues as a separate area of cooperation, expansion of legal regulation of cooperation issues and creation of an institutional form for the EAEU management in the sphere of higher education.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):140-154
pages 140-154 views

Humanitarian import substitution: Some results and current tasks of the Russian social science

Khagurov T.A.

Abstract

The relevance of the issues under consideration is determined by the recent fundamental social-political transformations associated with the exacerbation of a complex set of cultural, civilizational and, thus, intellectual contradictions between Russia and the West. These contradictions force both the Russian society and the Russian social science to reconsider the results of the last thirty years and to predict future scenarios, including intellectual ones. The article summarizes some results of the development of the Russian social science in the post-Soviet period and discusses (at least invites to a discussion) the possible contours of its further development according to the new logic of social processes. The article considers both the achievements of the Russian social-humanitarian thought in the post-Soviet period and its problems, primarily the loss of intellectual independence due to the uncritical borrowing and dogmatization of many Western intellectual models, some of which were created to understand a different social-cultural reality, and others were initially an intellectual weapon against the USSR (Russia). The author proposes the concept of “humanitarian import substitution” as a possible guideline for further development, which should be implemented on the principle of avoiding extremes: on the one hand, uncritical denial of the generally significant achievements of the Western social science and humanities; on the other hand, dogmatization of the ideas of Russian social scientists. The author considers as a resource for such “substitution” the largely untapped analytical and explanatory potential of the Russian literary tradition that can become a theoretical-methodological basis for many social and humanitarian models and concepts.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):155-164
pages 155-164 views

EdTech in sociological education: Challenges and opportunities, risks and solutions

Prokazina N.V.

Abstract

The contemporary system of sociological education undergoes all processes of digital transformation; therefore, the key challenges to the teaching community and risks associated with new functions and a decrease in the quality of education require serious rethinking in the context of digital transformation. Moreover, the tasks of identifying the capabilities of EdTech and constructive ways of using them in sociological education are also updated. The article considers the trends in the development of EdTech in education and conditions, technologies and directions for its use in sociological education. The empirical basis of the article is the results of sociological research conducted by international and Russian organizations on the use and development prospects of EdTech. The introduction and use of technologies in the education system determine the task of developing a new digital infrastructure and of the corresponding training/retraining of teaching staff. On the other hand, the education system should respond to students’ requests for emotional inclusion, support, psychological well-being and pedagogy of care in the digitally mediated environment. The author argues that the key tasks to be solved under the introduction of EdTech into sociological education are as follows: formation of a meaningful approach to the use of technology by all participants of the educational process; training in new methods for the analysis of transforming social reality; identification of legitimate ways to use artificial intelligence in education and research. The article emphasizes the dynamism of digital transformation in education, which determines the need for monitoring research and for a comprehensive (infrastructural, personnel, content) digital transformation strategy taking into account the features of educational programs.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):165-175
pages 165-175 views

Artificial intelligence and higher education - enemies or allies

Subbotina M.V.

Abstract

The development of artificial intelligence (AI) has become one of the most discussed topics in 2023. According to sociological surveys, the awareness of Russians in the field of AI and their willingness to use new technologies have grown. The leap in the development of neural networks, chatbots and AI technologies in general has already affected many areas of life, and the education system is no exception. Teachers face many challenges related to the regulation of the AI application in the educational process. On the one hand, issues of regulating the use of AI technologies in universities require a scrupulous study which is complicated by the speed of technological development. On the other hand, in addition to official regulations, it is necessary to solve more global and labor-intensive tasks: to unlock the potential of AI in the educational process; analyze the ethical side of the issue and develop the culture of using new technologies; adapt educational materials and assignments based on the possible application of AI by students; change curricula and revise the competency system, etc. The article considers ways to use AI technologies in the educational process as perceived by teachers and students. The author emphasizes both constructive and destructive capabilities of new technologies, the challenges that universities will face in the near future, and the positions of university representatives on these issues. The author believes that the use of AI technologies in education can benefit both teachers and students in sociology and other areas. It is impossible to stop the development of technologies; any attempts to hinder them are counterproductive; therefore, it is necessary to reconsider the established educational approaches according to the requirements of our time.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):176-183
pages 176-183 views

Applied sociological projects in the context of the clinical educational model of the Saint Petersburg State University

Safonov I.E., Sanadze Y.D., Rusakova M.M., Skvortsov N.G.

Abstract

Applied sociological projects can play an important role in reducing the gap between higher education and labor markets, but for this educational organizations need to develop a mechanism for interaction between students and employers. The article presents the clinical model used at the Saint Petersburg State University as a tool for organizing applied sociological projects as a part of the educational process. The authors describe the features of the Sociological Clinic of Applied Research of the Saint Petersburg State University, the results of its work and the directions of its development, providing some practical recommendations for introducing a clinical training infrastructure in educational programs in sociology. These recommendations may be useful for universities that want to improve their interaction with the labor market and their quality of education. The development and assessment of forms for integrating employers’ requests into educational institutions are current methodological tasks, and solutions developed and tested by the Saint Petersburg State University, namely the clinical approach, may be interesting for all participants of the education market. Its uniqueness is determined by the flexible organizational model which focuses on characteristics of different educational areas. Over a five-year period, the Sociological Clinic of Applied Research has become an educational form that successfully combines classical education with project-based activities, giving students the opportunity to include in-demand cases into their portfolios and establish relationships with representatives of local communities. This experience will be useful for improving the quality of education in sociology-related areas.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):184-195
pages 184-195 views

Professional selection at the university as a means for improving the quality of engineers training

Anisimov R.I.

Abstract

Higher professional education is a social factor of labor productivity. The article considers some problems in training engineers on the example of the mechanical engineering. Russia is one of the world leaders in the number of trained engineers, while the Russian industry is in dire need of qualified engineering personnel. Based on the statistical data, the author shows that 40 % of graduates do not work in their specialty, and 30 % of students do not complete their studies; as a result, half of engineering specialties’ students do not connect their careers with engineering. The author argues that such an insufficient professional selection during the period of study at universities is determined by per capita financing, practices of “saving the contingent” and a student-oriented strategy in Russian universities. Thus, it is necessary to return some elements of the Soviet higher education system by abandoning per capita financing and a student-oriented strategy.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):196-203
pages 196-203 views

The state in search of intellectual resources: The image of scientist in the perception of Russians

Lavrov I.A., Kryshtanovskaya O.V., Samokhina M.V.

Abstract

Under global challenges, the Russian state looks for ways to develop the national intellectual potential as a guarantee of technological sovereignty and country’s competitiveness. National research universities are supported, grant mechanisms for research activities are implemented, and programs for attracting and promoting young scientists are adopted. However, some objective indicators show persistent problems in the academic sphere: the number of research staff declines; “brain drain” continues; the number of graduate students and people who defended the thesis is not enough to solve the key problems of the state. The article considers social representations of the prestige of the scientific profession and the image of the scientist as factors that have a negative impact on human resources in the academic field. The research consisted of two stages: 1) 21 focus groups in 7 large Russian cities to identify the prestige of the scientific profession among three generations; 2) 207 interviews with students of Moscow universities (as the main source of personnel for scientific activities) to get a more detailed understanding of the image of the scientist. According to the results of the study, none of three Russian generations consider the profession of the scientist prestigious (inferior to politicians, businessmen, artists, bloggers, and IT specialists). The youth feel social injustice more acutely: they note the exceptional importance of scientists for national development, outstanding intelligence and complexity of this profession, but consider scientists an undervalued and low-income group. The image of the scientist is extremely distanced from the youth and is not an attractive vector of social mobility. One of the key reasons for the current situation is the absence of scientists in the Russian information space. Neither on television, nor in cinema or on social networks the image of the scientist is attractive to younger generations. If efforts are not made to eliminate this contradiction, the shortage of personnel in science will worsen, which would jeopardize the implementation of Russia’s national development plan.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):204-216
pages 204-216 views

Sociological lectures

Nonlinear effects of ‘normal traumas’ on human capital

Kravchenko S.A.

Abstract

The article considers the complication of social and cultural traumas under the global-local complexity and the transition to the dominance of nonlinear development. One of the types of the contemporary complex traumas is the ‘normal trauma’ that manifests itself as ‘naturally’ occurring fluctuations, bifurcations, gaps, paradoxes and metamorphoses. The consequences of ‘normal traumas’ for the formation of human capital are ambivalent: on the one hand, they deform the existing values and norms, previously acquired important competences and skills, thereby, knowledge becomes unclaimed; on the other hand, they encourage the creation of new qualities of human capital, necessary for adaptation to complex, nonlinearly developing realities. The author focuses on the ‘normal traumas’ of human capital, which are caused by the processes of globalization, rationalization, digitalization and the post-covid-19 consequences. The author argues that ‘normal traumas’ can and should be managed to minimize and overcome their dysfunctional, dehumanizing effects in order to develop new creative and humane components of human capital. To achieve this goal, the author suggests applying the theoretical-methodological instruments of the humanistic digital turn, ‘rediscovery’ of the significance of substantive rationalities and national-local lifeworlds, and introduction of innovative approaches to the formation of human capital under the effects of global-local complexity and nonlinearity. The author makes a conclusion about the need for the national strategy for the formation of human capital and national-cultural answers to ‘normal traumas’, based on the features of the Russian culture.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):217-227
pages 217-227 views

Some (relatively) new conceptual ‘frames’ supplementing the study of human capital in rural sociology

Nikulin A.M., Trotsuk I.V.

Abstract

The article continues the authors’ thoughts about the necessary conceptual frameworks that would help rural sociology provide more reliable insights and data in the study of such a relatively new (in the conceptual-analytical perspective) social phenomenon as rural human capital. In the previous article, we presented a brief overview of such half-forgotten but still relevant theoretical foundations of rural sociology as agricultural economics, theories of peasant agrarianism, and theory of rural-urban continuum, which to a greater or lesser extent can be applied in the analysis of rural development and rural social and human capital. In this article, we provide a brief overview of some more recent agrarian ideas that seem to have sufficient but questionable heuristic potential for rural sociology. First, the idea and repeatedly tested projects of the Green Revolution, or the Third Agricultural Revolution, which implied technology transfer initiatives to greatly increase crop yields, opposed the concept of “Red Revolution” (comprehensive agrotechnological transformations instead of radical political ones), despite some skeptical assessments, in the last decades of the 20th century contributed to the reduction in global hunger, and, especially in its Soviet interpretations, seemed to be consonant with the more recent intellectual direction - development studies. Second, Peasant Studies defending the position that the very question about the need for a special theory of the peasantry and peasant societies is untenable, and presenting an attempt to develop a middlerange theory within historical sociology, which is based on the four most important characteristics of the peasantry in the past and present: family economy, work on land in interaction with nature, local culture of self-organization (rural community), and marginal role in relation to the state. Today’s disputes about the peasantry in the contemporary world are complemented by two macroconcepts - theory of international food regimes and theory of global rural development. Thus, we still miss unambiguous theoretical generalizations regarding rural development due to the extreme diversity of both rural areas (and their social/human capital) and interpretations/definitions of rural/agricultural development (for instance, deagrarianization and extractivism or rural-urban glocalization and optimistic “unorthodox” social-ecological model).

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):228-240
pages 228-240 views

Do indirect measures of attitudes improve our predictions of behavior? Evaluating and explaining the predictive validity of GATA

Chernozub O.L.

Abstract

The generalization of the results accumulated to date has shown that the implicit measures of attitudes (some even suggest defining them with a less pretentious term “indirect”) show a disappointingly weak predictive potential in relation to real behavior. Thus, the predictive validity of the Graphical Association Test of Attitude (GATA), which also claims to be an indirect method, has been questioned. To check this assumption, we analyzed the results obtained with GATA in 64 predictions provided that the predicted outcome could be verified by real action. Such forecasts cover the domains of electoral, consumer and communicative behavior. In some cases, the prediction based on the data from a representative sample was checked referring to the actual behavior of the group represented by the sample, e.g., the electorate, or the consumers of a certain category of goods, etc. In other cases, the accuracy of the forecast was checked for each respondent. This allows to avoid the effect of “mutual compensation” of erroneous forecasts with opposite valence. The test method consisted of a comparison of the prediction accuracy of pairs of “control” and “experimental” prediction models: the only difference identified was that the latter used the data from indirect measurements of GATA as an additional factor of action. In the article, all models are presented in their simplest and most transparent versions. The results of the conducted meta-analysis do not fully correspond to the general trend: the use of the GATA data significantly and continuously improves the accuracy of predicting behavior. In addition, the incremental effect on the accuracy of individual forecasts (for each respondent) turned out to be higher than that of the sample-based group forecasts.

RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):241-258
pages 241-258 views

In Memoriam: David Genrikhovich Rotman

Danilov A.N.

Abstract

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RUDN Journal of Sociology. 2024;24(1):259-261
pages 259-261 views

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