Activity of Opposition Telegram Channels and Behavioral Factor of Google Users as a Research Method for Analyzing the Protests in Belarus in 2020

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The protests in the Republic of Belarus in August-November 2020 have been studied in article on the basis of data from “Telegram Analytics” and “Google Trends”, based on structural and functional analysis and a network approach, have been studied. A method of determining the cycles of protest activity is proposed, according to which Belarusian events can be divided into weekly periods. Specified protests are denoted as a “network revolution” - a state coup technology based on the concept of isolating the “pillars” of support for the political regime - he consistent paralysis of the state’s protection and management bodies, as well as the use of Internet resources for the mobilization, communication and coordination of protesters. The organizers of the “network revolution” have planned two options for the development of the state coup. The first one is the creation of a permanent hotbed of protests in the center of the capital and the gradual isolation of the “pillars of support” of the regime. The second one is holding a series of decentralized actions followed by consolidation and formation of a permanent hotbed of protests in the center of the capital and major cities. The experience of the events in Belarus showed that if the “pillars of support for the regime” are maintained, namely the bodies of state management and the institutions of internal protection of the Interior Ministry, the KGB, protests subside on the second week of protests.

About the authors

Kirill Ivanovich Nagornyak

V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University

Author for correspondence.

Postgraduate of the Faculty of History

Simferopol, Russian Federation


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Copyright (c) 2021 Nagornyak K.I.

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