PREDICTION OF THE MUNICIPALITY OF INCOME AS PART BUDGETARY MECHANISM

The paper was formulated and solved the problem of forecasting of items of income of the municipal budget. We considered regulations, their applicability in practice, the problem of the official prediction of existing work on this issue. We consider the classical adaptive model and based on the method of SSA (“caterpillar”). Conclusions about the applicability of the proposed methods in the alternative forecasting budget or drafting social and economic development plan for the municipality. The study suggested software for automated receipt of predicted values of the revenue side of the budget in the context of articles revenue.

budget, items of income analysis, time series forecasting, adaptive model, singular spectrum