RETROSPECTIVE ASSESSMENT OF INDIVIDUAL RISK OF DEATH OF PEOPLE IN FIRES IN THE IRKUTSK REGION

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Abstract

The object of the study are emergencies related to fires at the regional level. In the work, using methods of analysis social and mathematical statistics, presents the main relative indicators of the impacts: the number of fires, deaths from 1974 to 2015 in the Irkutsk region. On the basis of existing methodologies, and taking into account the number of deaths on the fires of the people and population in the region, the estimation of individual fire risk in the Irkutsk region. The results of investigations and calculations showed that the individual risk in the long-term analysis, and never in the region is not reduced to normative. Based on the studies and calculations, established that the level of security of people living in the territory of the Irkutsk region, does not meet the requirements of fire safety.

About the authors

V V Garmyshev

Irkutsk National Research Technical University

Author for correspondence.
Email: diamant1959@mail.ru

Ph.D., doctoral student «Irkutsk National Research Technical University»

Lermontov str., 83, Irkutsk, Russia, 664074

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Copyright (c) 2017 Garmyshev V.V.

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