(Not)real value: The impact of the reliability of financial statements on the value of the company
- Authors: Nemtseva Y.V.1, Valeeva A.S.2
-
Affiliations:
- Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management
- LLC «First Construction Fund»
- Issue: Vol 31, No 3 (2023): MODERNIZATION AND INNOVATION. NEW CHALLENGES OF THE WORLD ECONOMY
- Pages: 567-586
- Section: Monetary and financial questions
- URL: https://journals.rudn.ru/economics/article/view/36234
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.22363/2313-2329-2023-31-3-567-586
- EDN: https://elibrary.ru/NLXIXU
Cite item
Full Text
Abstract
The article presents methodological tools for assessing the value of the company, taking into account the fact of distortion of the accounting (financial) statements of the company. The reliability of the reporting of companies of the type of economic activity “Construction” is determined - one of the most important industries for the development of the Siberian Federal District (SFD) in the post-pandemic reality. The cost of construction companies of the SFD is estimated, the existence of a relationship between the manipulation of reporting and the value of the company is revealed. The authors propose an algorithm for assessing the value of the company, taking into account the fact of manipulation of reporting data. The steps of the algorithm of actions involve building a probit regression on an array of reporting data of companies with an interesting type of economic activity, determining the probability of manipulating reporting data based on the regression obtained, assessing the real value of the company taking into account the facts of manipulation. The proposed methodology for assessing the value of a company, taking into account manipulation, can be used to make management and investment decisions by external and internal stakeholders, including banks, credit organizations, suppliers, owners of construction companies, and other interested parties.
About the authors
Yulia V. Nemtseva
Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management
Author for correspondence.
Email: nemtseva_july@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0009-0003-6676-6308
PhD in Economics, Associate Professor
56 Kamenskaya St, Novosibirsk, 630099, Russian FederationAnastasia S. Valeeva
LLC «First Construction Fund»
Email: asvaleeva@yandex.ru
economist 50 Obskaya St, Novosibirsk, 630099, Russian Federation
References
- Alekseev, M.A. (2017). Financial market information space. Novosibirsk: Izd-vo NGUE’U. (In Russ.).
- Alekseev, M.A, Savel’eva, M.Yu., & Yаkovleva, P.V. (2017). Investigation of the applicability of accrual coefficients to the identification of facts of manipulation of the company’s profits, Kazan Economic Vestnik, 1(27), 54–64. (In Russ.).
- Benish, M.D. (1999). The Detection of Earning Manipulation, Financial Analysts Journal, 55(5), 24–36.
- Feruleva, N.V., & Shtefan, M.A. (2016). Identification of facts of falsification of financial statements in Russian companies, Russian Management Journal, 14(3), 49–70. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.21638/11701/spbu18.2016.303
- Kevorkova, Zh.A. (2014). Areas of fraud motivation, British Journal of Science, Education and Culture, 1(5), Vol. IV, 321–324. (In Russ.).
- Kravchenko, A.S., & Zelenov, D.S. (2021). Improvement of methods of diagnostics and detection of manipulation of financial reporting data in commercial enterprises, Nauchnoe Obozrenie. E’konomicheskie Nauki, 2, 54–58. (In Russ.).
- Ovchinnikova, O.O., & Plotnikova, A.A. (2016). Manipulation of financial statements in the construction industry on the example of million-plus cities: Moscow, St. Petersburg, Novosibirsk, Yekaterinburg. Student. Aspirant. Issledovatel’: vseros. nauch. zhurn, 11(17), 252–257. (In Russ.).
- Savel’eva, M.Yu., Alekseev, M.A., & Dudin, S.A. (2017). Quality control of the preparation of a cash flow statement in Russian companies, Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, (4), 756–767. (In Russ.).
- Savel’eva, M.Yu, Valeeva, A.S., & Vasil’eva, N.S. (2019). Methodological foundations for constructing an integral indicator for assessing the probability of manipulating accounting data in the direction of overstating them, taking into account the type of economic activity of companies, Vestnik Altayskoy akademii ekonomiki i prava, 5 (chast’ 2), 91–97. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.17513/vaael.491
- Sloan, R.G. (1996). Do stock prices fully reflect information in accruals and cash flows about future earnings? The Accounting Review, 71(3), 289–315.
- Sotnikova, L.V. (2011). Financial reporting fraud: detection and prevention. M.: Bukhgalterskiy uchet. (In Russ.).
- Stice, J.D. (1991). Using Financial and Market Information to Identify Pre-Engagement Factors Associated with Lawsuits against Auditors, The Accounting Review, 66(3), 16–533.
- Vlasenko, M.A. (2022). Financial stability management of an organization: Methodological aspect. (dissertation of the Сandidate of economic Sciences). Novosibirsk. (In Russ.).