IMPACT OF THE REGIONAL CONSEQUENCES OF GLOBAL WARMING AND LAND USINGON THE ECOLOGICAL PROCESSES IN INDOCHINA

On the basis of the spatial mathematical model of the global carbon dioxide cycle in the biosphere the absorption of carbon dioxide emissions from the fossil fuel burning, deforestation, and soil erosion by terrestrial ecosystems was calculated for all the world and countries of Indochina. Simulating experiments to estimate the consequences of restrictions of CO2 emissions to the atmosphere based on various scenarios of implementation of the Kyoto protocol to the Framework Convention on Climate Change were performed. Countries of the Indochina have remarkable role in absorption of CO2 emissions to atmosphere. Nevertheless, the forecast of CO2 emissions of these countries shows the fast growth of emissions during nearest 10-40 years. It will lead to significant increase of CO2 concentration of in atmosphere, which can disturb plans of Kyoto protocol and scenarios of modern plans. Effects of deforestation of tropical forests and soil erosion because of inappropriate land use and climate change were calculated until 2060 for countries of Indochina.

mathematical modeling, global biogeochemical cycles, carbon dioxide, global warming, anthropogenic impacts, regional consequences