Macroeconomic indicators as an object of forecasting

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Abstract

The article discusses several issues related to forecasting indicators: approaches to the definition of the concept of "forecasting" by various authors are analyzed, such forecasting methods as extrapolation methods are studied; economic and mathematical models; deflation methods; production, distribution, and end-use methods of GDP. The article pays special attention to the problem of inflation, as one of the fundamental macro-elements of any modern economy. An analysis is made of the impact of inflation on the Russian economy in the context of GDP, as well as other key factors of influence, such as the key rate of the Central Bank.

About the authors

Milana Magomed-Salievna Abueva

Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)

Author for correspondence.
Email: abueva-m@rudn.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3082-8170
SPIN-code: 2913-3024
Scopus Author ID: 57224893435

PhD, Associate Professor of the Department of Accounting, Audit, and Statistics at the Faculty of Economics

117198, г. Москва, ул. Миклухо-Маклая, д.6

Daniel Ruslanovich Didigov

Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)

Email: didigov-dr@rudn.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7326-2808
SPIN-code: 8986-0194

Assistant Professor of Finance and Credit at the Faculty of Economics

117198, Moscow, Miklukho-Maklaya str., 6

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