World Economic Crises, Waves of Fractal Dimension of Global Temperature of Earth and Kondratyev’s Cycles

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Abstract


In this work data of world statistics shows that the crisis phenomena of world economy have cyclic character. The main contribution to studying of these processes was made by the outstanding Russian economist N.D. Kondratyev who put forward the theory of cycles of an economic environment lasting 40-60 years. Dynamics of world economy for the last 200 years confirms existence in it long-wave the kondratiev cycles. Now there was an opinion that so difficult phenomenon as a business cycle, it is impossible to explain only with influence of one or small number of factors. But, undoubtedly, to number of such most essential factors influence on world economy of a factor of fluctuation of global temperature of the atmosphere of Earth belongs. This work also is devoted to this question. In it existence of waves of fractal dimension of global temperature of the atmosphere of Earth is discussed with the periods of recurrence 61 year and nature of their possible communication with kondratyevsky cycles as these periods are rather close.

A N Kudinov

Tver State University

Email: mancu@mail.ru
Laboratory for Mathematical Modeling

V P Tsvetkov

Tver State University

Email: tsvet@tversu.ru
Laboratory for Mathematical Modeling

I V Tsvetkov

Tver State University

Email: mancu@mail.ru
Laboratory for Mathematical Modeling

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Copyright (c) 2014 Кудинов А.Н., Цветков В.П., Цветков И.В.

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