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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">RUDN Journal of Sociology</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">RUDN Journal of Sociology</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Социология</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="print">2313-2272</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">2408-8897</issn><publisher><publisher-name xml:lang="en">Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia named after Patrice Lumamba</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">17287</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.22363/2313-2272-2017-17-4-449-459</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>Theory, Methodology and History of Sociological Research</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Вопросы истории, теории и методологии</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title xml:lang="en">“NEW CATASTROPHISM” AND THE FUTURE: THE DEMAND FOR NON-LINEAR KNOWLEDGE</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>«НОВЫЙ КАТАСТРОФИЗМ» И БУДУЩЕЕ: ВОСТРЕБОВАННОСТЬ НЕЛИНЕЙНОГО ЗНАНИЯ</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Kravchenko</surname><given-names>S A</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кравченко</surname><given-names>С А</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email>sociol7@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Perova</surname><given-names>A E</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Перова</surname><given-names>А Е</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email>aeperova@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO University)</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Московский государственный институт международных отношений (университет) Министерства иностранных дел Российской Федерации</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2017-12-15" publication-format="electronic"><day>15</day><month>12</month><year>2017</year></pub-date><volume>17</volume><issue>4</issue><issue-title xml:lang="en">VOL 17, NO4 (2017)</issue-title><issue-title xml:lang="ru">ТОМ 17, №4 (2017)</issue-title><fpage>449</fpage><lpage>459</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2017-11-17"><day>17</day><month>11</month><year>2017</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement xml:lang="en">Copyright ©; 2017, Kravchenko S.A., Perova A.E.</copyright-statement><copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">Copyright ©; 2017, Кравченко С.А., Перова А.Е.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2017</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kravchenko S.A., Perova A.E.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Кравченко С.А., Перова А.Е.</copyright-holder><ali:free_to_read xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"/><license><ali:license_ref xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0</ali:license_ref></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journals.rudn.ru/sociology/article/view/17287">https://journals.rudn.ru/sociology/article/view/17287</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="ru">The article analyzes the phenomenon of ‘new’ catastrophes determined by the specifics of contemporary vulnerabilities, i.e. the growing structural dysfunction of the complex system of society and/or techno-natural system. The authors show that this dysfunctionality is caused by both human activities and the system’s internal reflexivity; it depends on system’s ability to bear external and internal burdens of emergent and turbulent nature, which implies the uncertainty of catastrophes. The article emphasizes that the majority of ‘new’ disasters manifest in ‘liquid’ forms, which leads to the growth of permanent uncertainties in all spheres of life, while there are obvious limitations in the use of modern scientific knowledge for managing complex vulnerabilities. Many scientific innovations within the paradigm of ‘new catastrophism’ aim to study the emerging social-natural realities to find ways to minimize vulnerabilities. The authors show such ways on the example of new sociological approaches to the analysis of climate changes, ‘dead land’, ‘dead water’, and ‘normal accidents’. The efficiency of such approaches is determined by the integration of social and natural sciences achievements and by interdisciplinary efforts to develop principles of non-linear knowledge. However, the weakness of these approaches is determined by the focus on principles of formalism and pragmatism that limit the potential of the humanities. The authors call for a humanistic turn that would combine scientific, social and humanitarian knowledge, and allow to over-come ideology and practices of anthropocentrism so as to ensure a new humanism necessary to minimize consequences of ‘new’ catastrophes and to develop the humanistic strategy for the future.</abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>‘new catastrophism’</kwd><kwd>vulnerability</kwd><kwd>‘liquid’ catastrophes</kwd><kwd>‘normal’ accident</kwd><kwd>climatic turbulence</kwd><kwd>future</kwd><kwd>non-linear knowledge</kwd><kwd>scientific ‘non-knowledge’</kwd><kwd>anthropocentrism</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>«новый катастрофизм»</kwd><kwd>уязвимость</kwd><kwd>«текучесть» катастроф</kwd><kwd>«нормальная» катастрофа</kwd><kwd>климатические опасности</kwd><kwd>будущее</kwd><kwd>нелинейное знание</kwd><kwd>научное «незнание»</kwd><kwd>антро-поцентризм</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body></body><back><ref-list><ref id="B1"><label>1.</label><mixed-citation>Bauman Z. 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