RUDN Journal of Public AdministrationRUDN Journal of Public AdministrationВестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Государственное и муниципальное управление2312-83132411-1228Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia named after Patrice Lumumba (RUDN University)2355010.22363/2312-8313-2019-6-4-268-285Current Problems of Public AdministrationАктуальные проблемы государственного управленияResearch ArticleOil, Democracy and Internal Conflict in Sub-Saharan AfricaНефть, демократия и внутренний конфликт в странах Субсахарской АфрикиKoleAliКолеАлиHead of the Department of Marketingзаведующий кафедрой маркетингаkolegursulu@gmail.comMai Idris Alooma PolytechnicПолитехнический институт Май Идрис Алума1512201964VOL 6, NO4 (2019)ТОМ 6, №4 (2019)26828524042020Copyright ©; 2019, Kole A.Copyright ©; 2019, Коле А.2019Kole A.Коле А.http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0https://journals.rudn.ru/public-administration/article/view/23550This study examines the effect of oil and democracy on internal conflict in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The study employed panel regression on 14 oil rich SSA spanning from 1983-2012. The major finding reveals a U-turn from the resource curse theory because it clearly shows that, increase in oil leads to a reduction in the likelihood of internal conflict situations in SSA. The study found strong evidence on the significance of political institutions in mitigating internal conflict in SSA. However, the interaction between oil and democracy reduces the risk of internal conflict in SSA countries with the lowest and average polity scores and increase conflict in those SSA with a maximum polity score. This outcome is usually expected in the course of transition from autocracy to democracy in developing countries. Therefore, with further improvement in the political institutions, the mitigating effects of oil on internal conflict will re-emerge. Impliedly, oil in itself is a blessing and leads to the realization of peace when countries improve their political institutions. Also, the study uncovered that, while real GDP reduces the chances of internal conflicts in SSA, an increase in military expenditures tends to dampen the likelihood of peace which is a bit departure from the rentier peace theory. Therefore, the study suggests that, for peace to be maintained, SSA should reduce its expenditure on the military and increase that of social spending while improving its political system.В данном исследовании рассматривается влияние нефти и демократии на внутренние конфликты в странах Субсахарской Африки (ССА). В исследовании использовалась регрессивная модель панельных данных по 14 богатым нефтью Субсахарским странам, охватывающая период с 1983 по 2012 годы. Основной вывод указывает на тенденции, которые не соответствуют положениям часто применяемой в подобных случаях теории ресурсного проклятия и ясно показывает, что увеличение добычи нефти ведет к снижению вероятности возникновения внутренних конфликтных ситуаций в ССА. В исследование присутствуют убедительные доказательства значимости политических институтов в смягчении внутреннего конфликта в ССА. Тем не менее, взаимосвязь между нефтью и демократией снижает риск возникновения внутренних конфликтов в странах ССА с наименьшим и средним политическим баллом и увеличивает конфликт в ССА с максимальным политическим баллом. Этот результат обычно ожидается в процессе перехода от самодержавия к демократии в развивающихся странах. Поэтому с дальнейшим улучшением политических институтов смягчающее воздействие нефти на внутренний конфликт вновь проявится. Подразумевается, что нефть сама по себе является благом и ведет к достижению мира, когда страны совершенствуют свои политические институты. Кроме того, исследование показало, что, хотя рост реального ВВП снижает шансы на внутренние конфликты в ССА, увеличение военных расходов имеет тенденцию также понижать вероятность мира, что вступает в некоторое противоречие с положениями концепции мира-рантье. 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