RUDN Journal of Political ScienceRUDN Journal of Political Science2313-14382313-1446Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia named after Patrice Lumumba (RUDN University)8968Prior to Conflict Situations: Indicators, Monitoring, Political Decisions. Methodology of Detection of Prior to Conflict Tension and SecurityDavydovV NКафедра политических наук; Российский университет дружбы народов; People's Friendship University of Russiadavidov_vn@mail.ruHusseinG BakrMedia group «Keeper»marketing@psj.ruPeople's Friendship University of RussiaMedia group «Keeper»150320103314109092016Copyright © 2010,2010In the given article is developed methodology of definition and analysis of prior to conflict situation on example of modern foreign policy of the USA.global securitymodeling of complicated military-political processes«the funnel» of arms racebalance of military-strategical interestsmathematical analysis of prior to conflict situationsглобальная безопасностьмоделирование сложных военно-политических процессов«воронка» гонки вооруженийбаланс военно-стратегических интересовматематический анализ предконфликтных ситуаций