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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Discrete and Continuous Models and Applied Computational Science</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">Discrete and Continuous Models and Applied Computational Science</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Discrete and Continuous Models and Applied Computational Science</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="print">2658-4670</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">2658-7149</issn><publisher><publisher-name xml:lang="en">Peoples' Friendship University of Russia named after Patrice Lumumba (RUDN University)</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">43410</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.22363/2658-4670-2024-32-3-294-305</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="edn">BGKJTK</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>Computer Science</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Информатика и вычислительная техника</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title xml:lang="en">Maintaining the reliability of communication networks while continuing operation of optical cables beyond their warranty period</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Сохранение надежности сетей связи при продолжении эксплуатации оптических кабелей за пределами их гарантийного срока службы</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0005-6394-5022</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Paltsin</surname><given-names>Denis A.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Пальцин</surname><given-names>Д. А.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Director at the Access Network Research Center</p></bio><email>palcinda@niir.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0002-2708-7065</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Tsym</surname><given-names>Alexander Yu.</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Цым</surname><given-names>А. Ю.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Doctor of Technical Sciences, Chief researcher at the Access Network Research Center</p></bio><email>tsymay@niir.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">M.I. Krivosheev National Research Centre for Telecommunication</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Ордена Трудового Красного Знамени Российский научно-исследовательский институт радио имени М. И. Кривошеева</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2024-12-15" publication-format="electronic"><day>15</day><month>12</month><year>2024</year></pub-date><volume>32</volume><issue>3</issue><issue-title xml:lang="en">VOL 32, NO3 (2024)</issue-title><issue-title xml:lang="ru">ТОМ 32, №3 (2024)</issue-title><fpage>294</fpage><lpage>305</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2025-03-25"><day>25</day><month>03</month><year>2025</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement xml:lang="en">Copyright ©; 2024, Paltsin D.A., Tsym A.Y.</copyright-statement><copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">Copyright ©; 2024, Пальцин Д.А., Цым А.Ю.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2024</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Paltsin D.A., Tsym A.Y.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Пальцин Д.А., Цым А.Ю.</copyright-holder><ali:free_to_read xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"/><license><ali:license_ref xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0</ali:license_ref></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journals.rudn.ru/miph/article/view/43410">https://journals.rudn.ru/miph/article/view/43410</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Currently, an increasing number of fiber-optic communication lines are reaching the end of their predetermined service life, yet the quality indicators of these lines still allow for continued operation. To extend the actual operational life of these lines, it is necessary to conduct high-quality monitoring of both the current status of all components and the dynamics of key indicators. This article proposes a method for addressing the challenge of maintaining communication network reliability while continuing to use optical cables after their warranty period has expired. A study of random values of the attenuation coefficient and polarization mode dispersion of an optical fiber, supported by actual operational data from a network segment, shows high temporal stability in the attenuation coefficient and polarization mode dispersion of optical fiber type G.652. This conclusion allows us to discuss the continued operation of optical cables after the warranty period. To analyze the key aging metric, mathematical models are used that take into account the physical and chemical properties of cables as well as the conditions of their proof-tests. Using an example related to the current state of Russian fiber optic networks, we calculate the number of emergency reserve elements necessary to maintain the reliability of their operation. Practical recommendations for the placement of emergency reserve are also provided.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="ru"><p>В настоящее время, все большее количество волоконно-оптических линий связи оказываются в ситуации, когда гарантированная производителем продолжительность эксплуатации кабеля достигает заданного срока службы, однако качественные показатели линии допускают продолжение ее работы. Продление срока реальной эксплуатации требует качественного учета, как текущего состояния всех составляющих, так и динамики основных показателей. В статье предлагается метод решения проблемы сохранения надежности сетей связи при продолжении эксплуатации оптических кабелей за пределами их гарантийного срока службы. Исследование случайных показателей коэффициента затухания и поляризационно-модовой дисперсии оптического волокна, подкрепленное реальными эксплуатационными данными фрагмента сети, показывает высокую временну́ ю стабильность коэффициента затухания и поляризационно-модовой дисперсии оптического волокна G.652. Данный вывод позволяет говорить о продолжении эксплуатации оптических кабелей за пределом гарантийного периода. Для анализа ключевой метрики - старения - используются математические модели, учитывающие физикохимические свойства кабелей и условия проводимых для них контрольных испытаний. На примере, актуальном для текущего состояния российских оптоволоконных сетей, расчитывается количество элементов аварийного запаса, необходимых для поддержания уровня надежности их эксплуатации. Также приводятся практические рекомендации по размещению аварийного запаса.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>communication networks</kwd><kwd>fiber-optic cables</kwd><kwd>service life</kwd><kwd>operational reliability index</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>сети связи</kwd><kwd>волоконно-оптические кабели</kwd><kwd>срок службы</kwd><kwd>эксплуатационный показатель надежности</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group/></article-meta></front><body></body><back><ref-list><ref id="B1"><label>1.</label><mixed-citation>Mahlke, G. &amp; Gössing, P. Fiber Optic Cables: Fundamentals, Cable Planning, Systems Planning (Siemens Aktiengesellschaft, 1993).</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B2"><label>2.</label><mixed-citation>Tarasov, D., Ovchinnikova, I., Meschanov, G., Gordienko, V. &amp; Tsym, A. 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