RUDN Journal of MedicineRUDN Journal of MedicineВестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Медицина2313-02452313-0261Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia named after Patrice Lumumba (RUDN University)2252110.22363/2313-0245-2019-23-3-328-334EpidemiologyЭпидемиологияResearch ArticleMathematical Modelling and Prediction in Infectious Disease EpidemiologyМатематическое моделирование и прогнозирование в эпидемиологии инфекционных заболеванийYanchevskayaE. Ya.ЯнчевскаяЕ. Ю.apteca-111a@mail.ruMesnyankinaO. A.МеснянкинаО. А.apteca-111a@mail.ruAstrakhan State Medical UniversityАстраханский государственный медицинский университет15122019233VOL 23, NO3 (2019)ТОМ 23, №3 (2019)32833424122019Copyright ©; 2019, Yanchevskaya E.Y., Mesnyankina O.A.Copyright ©; 2019, Янчевская Е.Ю., Меснянкина О.А.2019Yanchevskaya E.Y., Mesnyankina O.A.Янчевская Е.Ю., Меснянкина О.А.http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0https://journals.rudn.ru/medicine/article/view/22521

Mathematical modeling of diseases is an urgent problem in the modern world. More and more researchers are turning to mathematical models to predict a particular disease, as they help the most correct and accurate study of changes in certain processes occurring in society. Mathematical modeling is indispensable in certain areas of medicine, where real experiments are impossible or difficult, for example, in epidemiology. The article is devoted to the historical aspects of studying the possibilities of mathematical modeling in medicine. The review demonstrates the main stages of development, achievements and prospects of this direction.

Математическое моделирование заболеваний является актуальной проблемой в современном мире. Все больше исследователей обращаются к математическим моделям для составления прогноза того или иного заболевания, так как они помогают наиболее правильно и точно изучить изменения определенных процессов, происходящих в социуме. Математическое моделирование незаменимо в определенных областях медицины, где невозможны или затруднены реальные эксперименты, например в эпидемиологии. Статья посвящена историческим аспектам изучения возможностей применения математического моделирования в медицине. Обзор демонстрирует основные этапы развития, достижения и перспективы данного направления.

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