Vestnik RUDN. International RelationsVestnik RUDN. International RelationsВестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Международные отношения2313-06602313-0679федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Российский университет дружбы народов имени Патриса Лумумбы» (РУДН)4220210.22363/2313-0660-2024-24-4-628-642MLGVLOINTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC RELATIONSМЕЖДУНАРОДНЫЕ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ ОТНОШЕНИЯ国际经济关系Research ArticleThe Epochal Crisis of Global CapitalismЭпохальный кризис мирового капитализмаRobinsonWilliam I.РобинсонУильям И.PhD (Sociology), Distinguished Professor, Department of Sociologyдоктор социологии, заслуженный профессор кафедры социологииw.i.robinson1@gmail.comUniversity of CaliforniaКалифорнийский университет15122024244Preserving Identity in a Global WorldСохранение идентичности в глобальном мире62864227122024Copyright ©; 2024, Robinson W.I.Copyright ©; 2024, Робинсон У.И.Copyright ©; 2024, Robinson W.2024Robinson W.I.Робинсон У.И.Robinson W.https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0https://journals.rudn.ru/international-relations/article/view/42202

The conflict in Ukraine escalated in 2022 and the West’s radical political, military and economic response to it was but the coup de grâce of a decadent post-World War II western-centric order. However, the escalation of geopolitical tensions around the world in the wake its violent crackup is symptomatic of something more fundamental: the epochal crisis of global capitalism. The crisis is multidimensional, and its varied dimensions are interconnected. It is a structural crisis of overaccumulation, a political crisis of state legitimacy and capitalist hegemony, a social crisis of global social reproduction, a geopolitical crisis of escalating international conflict, and an environmental crisis that threatens the collapse of the planetary ecosystem. Unlike earlier crises of world capitalism (four crises are traditionally distinguished), we are reaching the historical exhaustion of the conditions for capitalist renewal. Capitalist reactivation may be possible in the coming years through redistributive and regulatory policies and through the application of new digital technologies, but such reactivation could not in the long run resolve the underlying contradictions of a decadent global capitalism. The author concludes that modern society is very far from a revolution against global capitalism, due to the underdevelopment of subjective and organizational conditions. The paper applies a comprehensive approach to the processes and phenomena under consideration, using the principles of comparative data analysis and critical assessment of information. The relevance of the topic of research is due to both the increase in political instability in the world, and the noticeable growth of rivalry and confrontation in global economic processes.

Конфликт на Украине, обострившийся в 2022 г., и радикальный политический, военный и экономический ответ стран Запада на него стали смертельным ударом для упадочного западноцентричного порядка, сложившегося после Второй мировой войны. Однако эскалация геополитической напряженности во всем мире в результате насильственного распада этого порядка становится симптомом более фундаментального процесса - эпохального кризиса мирового капитализма. Этот кризис многомерен, и его разнообразные измерения взаимосвязаны. Это структурный кризис перенакопления, политический кризис государственной легитимности и капиталистической гегемонии, социальный кризис глобального социального воспроизводства, геополитический кризис эскалации международного конфликта и экологический кризис, который грозит крахом планетарной экосистемы. В отличие от более ранних кризисов мирового капитализма (традиционно выделяют четыре кризиса) в историческом плане условия для обновления мирового капитализма исчерпаны. Реактивация капитализма может быть возможной в ближайшие годы лишь посредством перераспределительной и регуляторной политики, а также с помощью применения новых цифровых технологий, однако в долгосрочной перспективе все это не сможет разрешить его глубинные противоречия. Автор приходит к выводу, что современное общество очень далеко от революции против глобального капитализма из-за неразвитости субъективных и организационных условий. В исследовании применяется комплексный подход к рассматриваемым процессам и явлениям с использованием принципов сравнительного анализа данных и критической оценки информации. Актуальность темы исследования обусловлена как нарастанием политической нестабильности в мире, так и заметным ростом соперничества и конфронтации в глобальных экономических процессах.

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