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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Vestnik RUDN. International Relations</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">Vestnik RUDN. International Relations</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Международные отношения</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="print">2313-0660</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">2313-0679</issn><publisher><publisher-name xml:lang="en">федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Российский университет дружбы народов имени Патриса Лумумбы» (РУДН)</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">15443</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.22363/2313-0660-2016-16-4-700-716</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ARTICLES</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>СТАТЬИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="zh"><subject></subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title xml:lang="en">Potential role of the NDB and AIIB in the global financial system</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Потенциальная роль Нового банка развития и Азиатского банка инфраструктурных инвестиций в глобальной финансовой системе</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Larionova</surname><given-names>Marina Vladimirovna</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ларионова</surname><given-names>Марина Владимировна</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email>larionova-mv@ranepa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name-alternatives><name xml:lang="en"><surname>Shelepov</surname><given-names>Andrei Vladimirovich</given-names></name><name xml:lang="ru"><surname>Шелепов</surname><given-names>Андрей Владимирович</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email>shelepov-av@ranepa.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru">Российская академия народного хозяйства и государственной службы при Президенте РФ</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2016-12-15" publication-format="electronic"><day>15</day><month>12</month><year>2016</year></pub-date><volume>16</volume><issue>4</issue><issue-title xml:lang="en">Iran and India in the System of International Relations</issue-title><issue-title xml:lang="ru">Иран и Индия в системе международных отношений</issue-title><fpage>700</fpage><lpage>716</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2017-02-26"><day>26</day><month>02</month><year>2017</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement xml:lang="en">Copyright ©; 2016, Larionova M.V., Shelepov A.V.</copyright-statement><copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">Copyright ©; 2016, Ларионова М.В., Шелепов А.В.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2016</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Larionova M.V., Shelepov A.V.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Ларионова М.В., Шелепов А.В.</copyright-holder><ali:free_to_read xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"/><license><ali:license_ref xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0</ali:license_ref></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journals.rudn.ru/international-relations/article/view/15443">https://journals.rudn.ru/international-relations/article/view/15443</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="en"><p>This article focuses on the two recently established multilateral development banks (MDBs) dominated by emerging economies: Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and New Development Bank (NDB). The authors explore the main economic and political incentives that lie behind the creation of these institutions, examine challenges and opportunities they are likely to face, and provide a forecast of their loan portfolios growth in the coming years. The forecast includes two scenarios: basic and optimistic, and is based on the analysis of NDB and AIIB differences from traditional banks, and potential benefits and challenges they can bring. The methodology used for assessment allows projecting the financial capacity of the two banks based on their announced shareholder capital and likely financial performance determined by membership, governance arrangements and other factors, and takes into account recent developments in both banks. Based on the forecast, the authors conclude that in ten years the new banks will be able to provide infrastructure financing at the level of traditional institutions working in the area. In order to develop in accordance with the optimistic scenario, the new banks should adhere to their basic alternative principles, but also rely on the experience of traditional banks in areas where they have proved their effectiveness. These include exchange of experience on selection of projects, social and environmental safeguards, and monitoring results. Apart from addressing the global infrastructure gap, the new banks could also stimulate traditional ones to reform their governance and change operational modalities and thus become more responsive to developing countries’ interests.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="ru"><p>В статье рассмотрены два недавно созданных многосторонних банка развития, в которых ключевые роли играют страны с динамично растущей экономикой - Новый банк развития и Азиатский банк инфраструктурных инвестиций. Авторы исследуют основные экономические и политические стимулы создания новых банков, анализируют возможности и вызовы, с которыми они могут столкнуться в процессе своего развития, а также предлагают прогноз роста их кредитных портфелей в ближайшие годы. На основе прогноза авторы приходят к выводу, что через 10 лет новые многосторонние банки смогут обеспечить финансирование инвестиций в инфраструктуру на уровне, сопоставимом с показателями традиционных институтов, работающих в данной сфере. Для развития в соответствии с оптимистичным сценарием новые банки должны придерживаться своих собственных, отличных от традиционных банков, базовых принципов, в то же время используя опыт традиционных институтов в тех областях, где они демонстрируют эффективность. Немаловажно, что помимо содействия устранению глобального дефицита инфраструктурных инвестиций такая стратегия может стимулировать традиционные банки к реализации реформ управления и изменению операционных подходов с целью более полного учета интересов развивающихся стран.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>multilateral development banks</kwd><kwd>New Development Bank (NDB)</kwd><kwd>Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB)</kwd><kwd>BRICS</kwd><kwd>global financial architecture</kwd><kwd>investment</kwd><kwd>infrastructure</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>многосторонние банки развития</kwd><kwd>Новый банк развития (НБР)</kwd><kwd>Азиатский банк инфраструктурных инвестиций (АБИИ)</kwd><kwd>БРИКС</kwd><kwd>глобальная финансовая архитектура</kwd><kwd>инвестиции</kwd><kwd>инфраструктура</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group/></article-meta></front><body></body><back><ref-list><ref id="B1"><label>1.</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Asia Foundation (2016). 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