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<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="en"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">Vestnik RUDN. International Relations</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="en">Vestnik RUDN. International Relations</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Международные отношения</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn publication-format="print">2313-0660</issn><issn publication-format="electronic">2313-0679</issn><publisher><publisher-name xml:lang="en">федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Российский университет дружбы народов имени Патриса Лумумбы» (РУДН)</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">10782</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ARTICLES</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>СТАТЬИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="toc-heading" xml:lang="zh"><subject></subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title xml:lang="en">Syrian Uprising: Underestimated External Factors. Critical Analysis of an American Approach to the Onset of Insurgency and Civil Wars</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="ru"><trans-title>Syrian Uprising: Underestimated External Factors. Critical Analysis of an American Approach to the Onset of Insurgency and Civil Wars</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Khlebnikov</surname><given-names>A L</given-names></name><bio xml:lang="en">Institute of International Relations and World History</bio><email>khleb001@umn.edu</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff1"><aff><institution xml:lang="en">Lobachevsky State University of Nizhni Novgorod</institution></aff><aff><institution xml:lang="ru"></institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date date-type="pub" iso-8601-date="2014-03-15" publication-format="electronic"><day>15</day><month>03</month><year>2014</year></pub-date><issue>3</issue><issue-title xml:lang="en">Middle East: Geopolitics, Energy, “Arab Spring”</issue-title><issue-title xml:lang="ru">Ближний Восток: геополитика, энергетика, «арабская весна»</issue-title><fpage>39</fpage><lpage>48</lpage><history><date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2016-09-09"><day>09</day><month>09</month><year>2016</year></date></history><permissions><copyright-statement xml:lang="en">Copyright ©; 2014, Khlebnikov A.L.</copyright-statement><copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">Copyright ©; 2014, Khlebnikov A.L.</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2014</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Khlebnikov A.L.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Khlebnikov A.L.</copyright-holder><ali:free_to_read xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/"/><license><ali:license_ref xmlns:ali="http://www.niso.org/schemas/ali/1.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0</ali:license_ref></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journals.rudn.ru/international-relations/article/view/10782">https://journals.rudn.ru/international-relations/article/view/10782</self-uri><abstract xml:lang="ru">The article is devoted to the critical analysis of the Fearon and Laitin’s approach to the onset of insurgencies and civil wars, using the case of the Syrian Uprising. It examines the role of external factors which is underestimated by the American scholars.</abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Syria</kwd><kwd>Syrian uprising</kwd><kwd>civil war</kwd><kwd>external factors</kwd><kwd>Syrian regime</kwd><kwd>Syrian opposition</kwd><kwd>rebels</kwd><kwd>revolution</kwd><kwd>Middle East</kwd><kwd>Arab Spring</kwd><kwd>the military</kwd><kwd>coercive apparatus</kwd><kwd>Russia</kwd><kwd>regional actors</kwd><kwd>major powers</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><body></body><back><ref-list><ref id="B1"><label>1.</label><mixed-citation>James D. Fearon and David D. Laitin are Professors, Department of Political Science, Stanford University, Stanford, California, United States.</mixed-citation></ref><ref id="B2"><label>2.</label><mixed-citation>James Fearon, David Laitin. 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