RUDN Journal of EconomicsRUDN Journal of EconomicsВестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Экономика2313-23292408-8986Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia named after Patrice Lumumba (RUDN University)2601310.22363/2313-2329-2021-29-1-56-63INNOVATIONS IN THE MODERN ECONOMYИННОВАЦИИ В СОВРЕМЕННОЙ ЭКОНОМИКЕResearch ArticleChina’s innovation race: future leader or outsider?Китай и инновационная гонка: будущий лидер или аутсайдер?ReshetnikovaMarina S.РешетниковаМарина Сергеевна

PhD, Associate Professor of Economic and Mathematic Modelling Department at Economic Faculty

кандидат экономических наук, доцент кафедры экономико-математического моделирования экономического факультета

reshetnikova-ms@rudn.ruPeoples’ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University)Российский университет дружбы народов23032021291VOL 29, NO1 (2021)ТОМ 29, №1 (2021)566323032021Copyright ©; 2021, Reshetnikova M.S.Copyright ©; 2021, Решетникова М.С.2021Reshetnikova M.S.Решетникова М.С.http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0https://journals.rudn.ru/economics/article/view/26013

Today two main innovative determinants influence China’s position in the race to global leadership in artificial intelligence. The aim of the research was to assess Chinese innovative potential according to two criteria: artificial intelligence talents and hardware base. The analysis has provided a conclusive answer to the question about the prospects of China to achieve the position of a scientific and technological superpower. The presented data shows that global competition in artificial intelligence has toughened and there is a certain lag in the competence of Chinese talents and in the development of breakthrough microelectronic technologies. However, the dynamics of the Chinese artificial intelligence sector growth and the Big Government legal actions indicate that the changes may come very soon. Due to the growing uncertainty and technological confrontation between main innovative and technology competitors, the victory in the global race for China's artificial intelligence sector may not take place.

Рассматриваются основные инновационные детерминанты, влияющие на лидерство Китая в области искусственного интеллекта, а также дается оценка, по каким из этих показателей удалось добиться успеха. Проведен сравнительный анализ по двум критериям, влияющим на инновационный потенциал: квалификация и общее количество пула специалистов, занятых в сфере искусственного интеллекта, и уровень развития материально-технической базы. Полученные результаты позволили сделать неутешительный вывод о перспективах Китая по достижению позиции научного и технологического лидера. Мировая конкуренция в области искусственного интеллекта ужесточилась, и налицо определенное отставание китайского сектора искусственного интеллекта от существующих лидеров, в первую очередь США, в области развития прорывных микроэлектронных технологий. Тем не менее динамика роста китайского сектора искусственного интеллекта и действия правительства указывают на то, что положительные изменения могут произойти очень скоро.

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